See this is exactly what I find irritating about this thread.
The woman, THAT we all know about and consider a key player, said on NATIONAL TV that the lotion was minimally effective.
What kind of person, before the broadcast, sees a completely bald woman and expects otherwise?
What kind of person, after the broadcast, then starts discussing the relative minutia of universalis vs areata vs androgenetic, in order to hold hopes for the lotion? Of couse they are all different - what justification does anyone here have to expect better performance with Androgenetic Alopecia than AA? What ingredients in the lotion have you completely convinced that it will definitely address Androgenetic Alopecia (WHICH, may I remind you, we do NOT have picture evidence or data for).
If a panel of women part of an organization involved in all types of alopecia have a very modest opinion of the lotion, what kind of person misinterprets this situation by suggesting that well, "X and Y haven't been revealed yet so we will just have to see."
This is not simply my opinion. This is just rationality speaking. This lotion has been entombed by brick after brick of disappointment.
Was it worthwhile to investigate this cure? Yes, absolutely! Do I blame the doctor? No of course not. Good on him for trying.
BUT I think it is past time that we gather the evidence and greatly lower our expectations for this lotion or even assume that it does not work; the worst that will happen is that we will be pleasantly surprised, but the chances of that happening have been slipping away for quite a while now.
And before you scapegoat me for being the bearer of bad news, step back and assess the situation for a moment. If I offered to sell you the lotion for $300/mo, what questions would you need answered, what assurances would you need to be given, in order to feel that you have not made a mistake with a moot product? What would you consider unacceptable or bad signs?Because that's what we should be looking for now, in spite of the fact that some of us are clearly blinded by the hope that the lotion "will definitely" work. Waiting for the lotion is comprable to waiting for the baldness to go away - they both ignore the reality that is presented every day.
This lotion is markedly different than the concept of Follica or Shiseido or Riken in that the major component of technology is fixed - either dgla+equol+carnitine works, or it doesn't. In fact, if you recall the patent, it claims that ONLY dgla+equol TOGETHER works. Ok. Suppose that this lotion delivers only modest improvements for Androgenetic Alopecia. What's the next step? Short of changing the dosage, there is no backup plan.
If things go bad, Shiseido can consider culturing different kinds of cells. In fact this was part of the RCH research.
Riken can use alternative media, culturing techniques, and types of cells.
Follica can change the applied compound(s) to change effectiveness.
These other companies have paths forward yet, so to me it is acceptable for them to claim that they are still im development.
If Fidia's main task is to improve stability, then I assume that the efficacy is still the same as always. Even if we assume that Fidia doubled the efficacy, which would be quite an accomplishment, we would still need to see half-baked results with the lotion, which we have not.