Rogaine has been advertised on American TV for 30+ years. One time back in the 1990s Homer Simpson got a prescription for "Dimoxinil" and temporarily regrew his hair. The public's familiarity with Rogaine is not comparable. The average person still doesn't recognize 'Finasteride' or 'Propecia.'
Except that the average person's idea of a big improvement is not what any of these baldness treatments do. Just look at the episode where Homer got his hair back. He didn't get some realistic thickening and new vellus hairs on top, he got Elvis hair. My point is that even pretty good results from HMI-115 won't look all that impressive to the average person. It won't look like anything life-changing to them.
You can safely assume whatever the hell you want. But please don't frame your opinion as the only logical one.
It is the only logical one. I don't think you understand the logical leaps and rationalizations people on this exact forum have used in attempt to validate their hope for every single new treatment over the past 20 years. They're always the exact same every single time, and you're using the same ones for this.
"It's just one trial participant. He could have been the worst responder!"
"This is a prestigious doctor, he wouldn't have risked his reputation on something that doesn't work"
"The early data said that results started showing after 6 months, we just have to wait"
"They wouldn't have spent this much time and money on trials if it didn't work"
"It looks like the treatment caused a severe shed cycle which is a great sign because it means it's about to start regrowing!"
And hundreds more.
You know what all of these historical treatments have in common? None of them had visible regrowth, yet those that
did have pictures had half the forum saying how impressive the pictures were and how much regrowth they say (aka delusion).
If any of these trial pictures had visible regrowth, even just 1 norwood, it would make headlines AND we would already have seen them at this exact moment. I know your world view is based around one Simpsons episode from 30 years ago, but look at that recent headline about how scientists discovered a way to regrow teeth. That was completely misleading, had no pictures, yet easily penetrated the zeitgeist. Something that regrows even 1 norwood and has pictures would be talked about by the general public.