Fibrosis may only occure there,where the immunsystem detects,that there is no longer need for metabolic activity of the tissue,because the organes in the tissue degenerate.When they have active metabolism,they may send out substances which are antifibrotic.But im not so sure here.Something in my head says that the possibility,that the tissue by oneself can respond to tgf-beta signal too,must be considered.Anyhow,we know that tgf-beta induces Fibrosis of the tissue in scalp skin,AND it inhibits the anagen phase.And its well known that tgf-beta induces fibrosis and inflammation in other organes,and in the tissue of the hands for example.
Two observations.
1). Kevin McElwee has stated that healthy hairs can secrete enzymes that eat their way through collagenous deposition. Ive seen folks take issue with that, however transplanted hairs grow well for decades in 'unfriendly' collagenous fibrotic scalp like this,
http://www.drvogelplasticsurgeon.com/bna/hair_08.html.
Here is a picture of a man who had "plugs" back in the early 80's,
http://www.drvogelplasticsurgeon.com/bna/hair_08.html , and his "after" picture after a "repair" procedure in the early 00's. As you can see, he went bald all around the "plugs", but the plugs stayed there and greyed at the same rate that his "donor" hair greyed in the back. You can see when he had more transplants put in, they look exactly like the "plug" hair (that has been redistributed around the front also after being take out and broken up into smaller units).
I find this picture,
http://www.drvogelplasticsurgeon.com/bn ... duce3.html , to be EXTREMELY instructive as it shows you miniturizing hair right beside old plugs done a long time before hand (probably at least a decade earlier).
Near the end of this page (scroll down),
http://www.drvogelplasticsurgeon.com/html/hair.html , you can see many pictures of "repair" photos where men who had transplants done in the eighties and early nineties got them fixed in the early or middle years of this decade. The old plug hairs grow just fine as the native hair around them falls right out. Even though they are in "balding scalp", they persevere extremely well and behave just like the hair in the back. If the hair in the back didnt grey over the last 20 years or so, the transplanted hair doesn't grey either. Its really impressive.
2). You mention the immuno attack and tgf-beta and fibrosis. This is precisely what I think happens. What is causing the attack? I have an "idea" formulated in my head around DKK-1. DKK-1 was shown to actually cause keratinocyte apoptosis (cell death) in experiments. So in the balding scalp, the keratinocytes are literally dying in the body, and then probably being carried out of the body by the growing keratin hair shaft when they break loose from the other living keratinocyte cells. We
know for a fact that the first inflammation seen in androgenic alopecia is at the infidulum, or the opening in the skin where the hair exits the dermis. Why would the immune system "inflame" this area with oxides, inflammatory cytokines, etc.? I think its quite possible because it detects the dead kertinocyte cells and sees them as a foreign invader in the body. If you think about it, it makes perfect sense that the body would seek to encase the offending 'body" (in this case the hair follicle) in collagen and attempt to inhibit blood vessel formation to that body in ensuing hair cycles. Its just a "Fuzzy idea" I have based on the first inflammation being around the infidulum. Ive no way to prove it or anything, but its a hypothetical suggestion.
I think the loss of the layer of fat tissue in the frontal scalp is due to the immunological happenings attacking the miniaturizing hairs over time and the fibrosis process after excess collagen is deposited there for years. The scalp becomes more like the forehead, yet the transplants show it can still support healthy follicles when transplanted from the back of the head, or even the body. We know that the transplants last as long as the hair in the back of the head lasts in its native location (usually all of one's life).