When will you get it through your thick skull that there is no answer to these types of questions? For some it may be a good sign since they are not shedding thick healthy hairs.
I am going through an awful shed and it was preceded by a period where I was shedding mostly fine crappy hairs. Now I am losing tons of good hairs only from the top front area. Could I have predicted this based on what was happening back in October? Of course not. What is going on with your hair today can in no way be used to predict what will be going on in the future.